At international level we are working for the European Institutions e.g. the European Parliament, the European Commission as well as for industries and associations.
More information on international projects is provided by the following links:
Support study to the Evaluation of Regulation (EU) No 913/2010 concerning a European rail network for competitive freight – Completed
Client: European Commission
Duration: 09/2019 –12/2020
Partner: TRT (Lead), M-FIVE, TEPR, MC Mobility Consultants GmbH, Ricardo
Subject and objective
The purpose of this support study is to provide the Commission with evidence on the implementation and performance of the Regulation (EU) 913/2010 on the establishment of European Rail Freight Corridors (RFC) and its impacts in the EU. To that end, our study team following the EU Better Regulation Guidelines answered 21 evaluation questions grouped under the evaluation criteria of relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, coherence and EU added value.
Regulation (EU) No 913/2010 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 22 September 2010 concerning a European rail network for competitive freight traffic defined the framework conditions for the creation of international Rail Freight Corridors (RFC) for the development of a European rail network for competitive freight. The regulation lays down rules for the selection, organisation, management and investment planning of the rail freight corridors.
The success of European rail freight is hampered by a mix of technical and operational barriers resulting from lack of full interoperability and insufficient cooperation between both railways and Member States. The complexity and heterogeneity of international rail freight transport require a methodology capable of investigating the development since 2010 and the current situation using a wider set of approaches.
Did the regulation establish a successful and competitive rail freight network e.g. able to increase its modal share? To answer this question 21 evaluation questions were set-up grouped under the evaluation criteria of relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, coherence and EU added value are answered.
Relevance: how well do the objectives of the EU intervention match the needs and problems of long distance rail freight in Europe. Answering this question determines whether there is a mismatch between the objectives of the intervention and the needs or problems.
Effectiveness: Was the regulation effective? Here the progress made by EU rail freight transport due to implementing the provisions of the Regulation was assesses and the specific contribution of the Regulation to the achievements of the general, specific and operational objectives was analysed.
Efficiency: Do benefits cover cost ? This criterion seeks to compare the costs that stakeholders, users and regulators have to bear in order to implement the Regulation with the benefits that accrue from the provisions of the Regulation itself.
Coherence: This criterion examines the extent to which the provisions of the Regulation are consistent with other EU legal acts on transport policy (e.g. on TEN-T) as well as with related economic and environmental policies.
EU added value: Here a general comparison of the actual situation with expectations at the time the Regulation was introduced is undertaken as well as it is analysed if the objectives of the regulation require intervention at EU level to solve the problems.
M-Five contributed its long-standing experience in EU transport policy and in rail sector to the study and participated or was responsible for the following tasks:
- Desk research and analysis of literature
- Field Research: data collection and stakeholder engagement via survey-questionnaire and interviews
- Preparation of quantitative datasets (e.g. on European trade structures and foreign trade) and indicators from databases and mixed analogue/digital systems
- Topical case studies
- Estimation of costs and benefits of the regulation.
Evaluation of the WHITE PAPER ‘Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area – Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system’ (COM(2011) 144) – Completed
Client: European Commission
Duration: 08/2019 – 01/2021
Partner: Ricardo (Lead), TRT, M-FIVE, TEPR, E3MLab
Subject and objective
The evaluation aims to provide a comprehensive assessment of the White Paper, analyse and assess the proposed action points, the outcomes achieved and, where applicable, their preliminary impacts. Furthermore, the overall political impact of the strategy is assessed.
The White Paper “Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area” (EC COM(2011) 144) defined the strategic objectives of the European transport policy for the time horizons 2030 and 2050. For 2050 for the first time a greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target has been defined for the transport sector, which should reduce its GHG emissions by -60% compared to 1990. By 2030 in urban areas only have of cars should be conventionally fuelled with combustion engines, for 2050 all conventional cars should disappear in cities. To achieve these major objectives four action areas, 40 measure areas and 131 measures have been defined and proposed. The White Paper is still being implemented and certain initiatives are still in progress while new ones were recently introduced (e.g. the Mobility Packages adopted in 2020). Other developments such as the Paris Climate Agreement and the European Green Deal change the broader framework in which the White Policies are operated.
The evaluation will need to map the implementation of the White Paper measures so far and distinguish between evidence on real impacts (realised to date) and further anticipated impacts (which may not have yet realised).
- Broad range of policy initiatives and instruments covering a wide range of thematic areas in all transport modes and implementation of policies at different government levels.
- Need to disentangle the effect of the 2011 White Paper versus other policy initiatives and background trends.
- Need to map and match information from across a range of data sets, literature sources and consultation approaches.
- Successfully engage stakeholders and decisions-makers.
The study will have to apply the EU Better Regulation Guidelines to evaluate the impacts and the success of the White Paper. The impacts will be analysed for the following five criteria:
Assess the effectiveness of the overall strategy and the 40 action areas: how successful the strategy has been in achieving its objectives & the progress made across the different policy areas.
Efficiency: Examine the extent to which the costs of the White Paper strategy have been proportionate to the overall benefits achieved.
Verify the relevance of the needs and objectives identified in the White Paper in view of the current and future developments in the transport sector
Assess the coherence of the White Paper objectives with targets set in other relevant policy areas, such as the Europe 2020, and the 2020 to 2030 agendas
Examine the EU added value of defining such a common EU transport strategy.
Experts of M-Five contributed to the study with their knowledge from supporting the definition of the White Paper during the period 2008 until 2011. M-Five analysed the implementation of the White Paper in six Member States and works on:
- Topical and country case studies
- Desk research and literature analysis
Study on exploring the possible employment implications of connected and automated driving – Completed
Client: European Commission, Directorate-General Research and Innovation – GD RTD
Duration: 06/2019 – 10/2020
Partner: M-Five, Ecorys (Lead), TRT, Seureco, VTT, ERTICO, IRU, UITP, CAM
Topic and objective
Objective of the project is the analysis and assessment of the employment impacts of connected and automated driving (CAD). Growth and jobs impacts of scenarios of different diffusion pathways of CAD in Europe are quantified. Changing skill requirements and other social aspects are examined. Finally, the project aimed to recommend ways in which the positive aspects can be enhanced while the negative impacts can be avoided or mitigated.
Technologies related to CAD are currently being developed. Higher levels of automation will be developed and adopted by 2050 and should seriously disrupt employment. On the other hand, there is currently a severe lack of drivers in freight transport and public transport that may be alleviated by CAD. The European automotive industry may benefit from the growth potential of value-added of future CAD technologies.
- Defining scenarios of CAD technology development and diffusion with uncertainty about future technology potentials and restrictions
- Development of a European database at NUTS-II level on the status-quo of regional employment in freight transport and public transport differentiated into functions
- Developing parameters for employment intensity of automated and emerging transport modes
- Coupling quantitative and qualitative analyses Involving various stakeholders and interview partners
- How could trajectories for technology development and adoption look like in the short, medium and long run (until 2050)?
- What is the growth and jobs impact of the adoption of CAD?
- How is this development distributed among European regions?
- What social challenges are related to the development of CAD?
- What policy measures could be taken to mitigate adverse impacts on employment?
- Interviews with stakeholders
- Development of a scenario model for technology development and roll-outs
- Integrated modelling of growth and employment impacts of mobility services, vehicle manufacturing and second-round demand effects in the EU with the ASTRA model of M-Five
- Developing a synthesis model for an assessment of regional impacts at NUTS-2 level, as well as of job categories
- Qualitative assessment of skills requirements and social impacts
M-Five led the integrated modelling of CAD impacts, elaborated the growth and jobs impacts using the ASTRA model, developed the synthesis model to carry out the regional impact assessment at NUTS-II level in the EU and the analysis of growth potential of CAD for the EU automotive industry.
Cost of non-completion of the TEN-T
Client: European Commission DG MOVE, Brussels
Duration: 10/2014 - 06/2015
Partner: Fraunhofer ISI/M-Five (lead), PTV, Infras
The EU Commission in collaboration with the European Parliament and the Member States has defined a Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T). Until 2030 the so called core network shall be implemented. This network consists of nine long distance traffic corridors with high importance for the European transport system. This core network is part of the European reference scenario. In this study the economic impact of an absent implementation of the European core network to the EU and its Member States has been examined. Building on the results of the nine so called corridor studies of 2014 the modifications of accessibility, cost and investment in case TEN-T network would not be implemented by 2030 has been estimated.
These adapted infrastructure scenarios then have been examined in a model based analysis applying the ASTRA model. Substantial macroeconomic losses because of an absent realization of the core network have been identified thereby. Especially the realization of cross-border projects connected with the core network and innovative technologies did exhibit highly positive inputs to the macroeconomic development. Staff of M-Five did coordinate the project. Dr. Wolfgang Schade presented the results of the study at the TEN-T days 2015 in Riga to experts and the press.
The project is completed and the final report might be downloaded here.
Atlantic TEN-T Core Network Corridors – Study of Corridors
Client: European Commission DG MOVE, Brüssel
Duration: 09/2015 – 12/12017
Partner: TIS pt (Lead), INECO, EGIS, BG Consulting Engineers, M-Five
The TEN-T regulation of 2013 (REG 1315/2013) defines a core and a comprehensive network. The core network consists of nine core network corridors (CNC) that should be implemented by 2030. One of these corridors is the Atlantic CNC. The CNC have been inaugurated in 2013 and each of them is developed by a European Coordinator together with the stakeholders along the corridor and the Member States concerned. The Atlantic CNC runs from Portugal via Spain and France to Germany. It connects the European urban nodes of Lisbon, Porto, Madrid, Bordeaux, Paris with Strasburg and Mannheim.
Prof. Carlo Secchi is the European Coordinator responsible for the Atlantic CNC. He is supported by so-called corridor studies carried out by an international consortium. M-Five is part of that consortium and keeps contact with the stakeholders between Mannheim and Saarbrücken/Forbach in Germany. Our tasks included the observation of project progress, the update of the project list as well as the analysis of indirect economic impact of the corridor as well as of environmental improvements.
We also elaborated the growth and jobs analysis for all nine corridor studies. Our activities supported the development of the 3rd Work Plan of the Atlantic CNC.
TRIMODE – Transport Integrated Model of Europe
Client: European Commission DG RTD/MOVE, Brussels
Duration: 12/2015 – 1/12019
Partner: TRT (Lead), PTV Group, E3MLab, M-Five, Bauhaus Luftfahrt, MDS
The TRIMODE Consortium is developing an integrated transport model for passenger and goods transport in Europe. Core of the TRIMODE model will be a network and assignment model considering all modes in Europe as well as their interconnection with intercontinental transport. Spatial disaggregation is at NUTS-III level. An economic model of each European country as well as of other world regions will be coupled with the transport model. Vintage models of vehicle fleets will enable to describe the diffusion of new technologies as well as the estimation of transport energy demand and emissions.
The TRIMODE model should be applied for future policy assessment at the European level e.g. at the level of the TEN-T core network corridors or to understand the process of decarbonisation of European transport.
M-Five is contributing to the modeling of passenger and goods transport. We are responsible for the supervision of the economic modeling and to ensure the policy relevance of the TRIMODE model.
The impact of TEN-T completion on growth, jobs and the environment
Client: European Commission, DG MOVE, Brussels
Duration: 06/2017 - 12/2018
Partner: M-Five (Lead), TRT Trasporti e Territorio, Ricardo-AEA
To develop a Common Transport Policy (CTP) was part of the Treaty of Rome in 1957. However, little progress was made over decades to implement the CTP. During the 1980ies several decisions of the European Court of Justice obliged the Member States to act on the development of the Common Transport Policy and thus to implement an important element of the Treaty of Rome as well as of the vision of an integrated Europe. This led to the publication of the first guidelines on how to develop an integrated multi-modal Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T guidelines, 1692/96/EC). The first guidelines still built on single projects while the consideration of the cross-border dimension of European transport networks was rather limited.
The second revision of the TEN-T guidelines emphasized to focus on eliminating infrastructure bottlenecks and in particular to establish good quality cross-border connections. Member States were committed to implement the TEN-T core network by 2030. The TEN-T guideline (Reg. 1315/2013) was accompanied by a new co-funding regulation establishing the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF, Reg. 1316/2013).
The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the TEN-T implementation (i.e. for the period 2017 until 2030) on growth and jobs as well as to evaluate the major environmental impacts. The study was coordinated by M-Five.
The study used the project lists (as of mid 2017) of the nine core network corridors (CNC) that form the TEN-T core network. These projects were processed by M-Five and TRT to generate the data input for the transport network model TRUST and the integrated economic assessment model ASTRA. The two models were linked and the ASTRA model was used by M-Five to assess the growth and jobs impacts of the TEN-T implementation.
M-Five was responsible for the economic assessment, while TRT undertook the assessment of transport impacts. Analysis of investment plans of Member States to implement the TEN-T thus was a task of M-Five. This included the analysis of funding and financing plans of the project promoters, as well as the extension of financial market modeling in ASTRA that goes beyond the mere consideration of crowding out effects.
Economic impact assessment of the TEN-T focussing on the growth and jobs impacts was another task of M-Five using the macro-economic module of ASTRA. Our results revealed that the implementation of the TEN-T by 2030 would generate an increase of European GDP by 1,6% compared with the baseline in which TEN-T implementation would have stopped at the end of 2016. By 2040 the stimulus to GDP growth would lead to 2,6% higher GDP. By 2030 additional employment would amount to 800.000 jobs compared with the baseline, and by 2040 1,17 million new jobs would be generated. Italy, Spain, France and Poland all would gain more than 100.000 additional jobs by 2030. The cumulated number of additional job-years over the period 2017 to 2030 would amount to 7,5 million job-years due to the completion of the TEN-T.
The results of the study can be downloaded at the website of the European Commission using the following links:
The Results and Efficiency of Railway Infrastructure Financing within the European Union – Completed
Client: European Parliament, budget committee, Brussels
Duration: 05/2015 - 10/2015
Partner: Fraunhofer ISI, M-Five
The consolidation of the European train system was one of the main priorities of the European White Paper of 2001. This is why the railway infrastructure projects are one of the most important elements of the trans European traffic network (TEN-T). The European Co funding of the projects did take place over the TEN-T fonds and the structure fonds. However, the latter were far better equipped than the TEN-T fonds. Only one fifth of the European funds were allocated to the railway system. The increase of the TEN-T funds in the current financing period 2014 to 2020 is a clear prioritisation for the railways and demonstrated this in the allocation of funds.
The study examined whether EU funding has been used efficiently in the past to achieve the goals of European transport policy. For this purpose, the general financing structure was analysed, and the efficiency of the achievement of objectives was examined on the basis of four case studies.
M-Five analysed the general funding structure, examined innovative funding instruments, elaborated one of the case studies and co-developed the conclusions and recommendations.
The project is completed and the report can be downloaded here.
TEN-T Connectivity and Accessibility of Transport Infrastructure in Central and Eastern European Member States – Completed
Client: European Parliament, Committee for Transport and Tourism (TRAN), Brussels
Duration: 01/2016 - 03/2016
Since the pre-accession phases, the Member States located in Central and Eastern Europe have been receiving EU funding to be invested in transport infrastructure. These investments have improved connectivity and accessibility in the New Member States substantially. Our study showed, however, that gaps remain. We analysed how current policy instruments could contribute to close such gaps, and how this policy could be improved.
The resulting note provides an overview of connectivity and accessibility of transport infrastructure in the Central and Eastern European EU Member States (CEMS) – ‘from north to south’: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria. It also highlights the major related issues and assesses the scope for improvements, including those related to the TEN-T policy and funding principles. All CEMS are supported by TEN-T funds (CEF) and structural funds (ERDF and CF) with a view to improving their transport systems and connecting them better with the other Member States. Five of the new TEN-T ‘core network corridors’ (CNC) pass through them. Our brief study can be downloaded at the European Parliament.
TEN-T Logistics – Completed
Client: European Parliament, TRAN-Committee, Brussels
Duration: 01/2016 - 03/2016
Fully-fledged logistics services play an important role for the success of railways and inland waterways as part of European transport chains. Therefore interoperability of railways and inter-modality between modes enabled by multi-modal terminals are a very important issue along the corridors of the TEN-T core network. Our brief study discusses the status of logistics and how to achieve a better performing multi-modal transport system on the TEN-T core network making use of existing policy instruments but also improving them.
The resulting policy note on Logistics in the TEN-T Corridors provides an overview on logistics in the EU, its economic importance and its relevance for achieving the objectives of the White Paper on transport policy. It discusses the contributions of the nine core network corridors (CNC) of the Trans European Transport Networks (TEN-T) to foster intelligence of infrastructure, modal integration, interoperability and connectivity. A review is given on the interplay between the development of the CNC and the development of logistics. Furthermore, some comments are added on the appropriateness of key performance indicators (KPI) as described in the CNC studies, the effectiveness of co-funding through CEF, ERDF and EFSI and the consultation with the stakeholders of the logistic sector. In addition, a comprehensive summary of relevant documents is given.
HORIZON 2020 EU-RESEARCH PROGRAM
SET-NAV – Navigating the Roadmap for Clean, Secure and Efficient Energy Innovation – Completed
Client: EU Horizon 2020
Duration: 04/2016 – 04/2019
Partner: TU Viena, Fraunhofer ISI, DIW Berlin, NTNU, Sintef, Seureco, Comillas, NTUA, REKK, CEPS, UEA, ETH, Axpo, GE, IIASA, M-Five
Navigating the Roadmap for Clean, Secure and Efficient Energy Innovation is a project funded by the EU Horizon 2020 programme and intends to support strategic decision making in Europe’s energy sector with the goal of promoting innovation towards a clean, secure and efficient energy system (http://www.set-nav.eu/).
The three key objectives of SET-Nav are 1.) enhancing modelling capacities for an increased understanding of interdependencies between actors, technologies and policy interventions in Europe’s energy system, 2.) providing a model-based decision support for achieving the policy objectives of the European Union regarding the energy system and 3.) ensuring a proper research orientation and a high impact through a continuous and in-depth stakeholder involvement and dialogue.
The role of M-Five in this project is 1.) integrating Croatia in the European version of ASTRA and 2.) assessing the macroeconomic impacts of several case studies. We collaborate in this task with Fraunhofer ISI, SEURECO and SINTEF and we will also conduct a comparison of the results of ASTRA with two other macroeconomic models (Nemesis and Remes). The case studies which will be assessed concerns the building sector and the energy-producing sector.
INDUSTRY AND ASSOCIATIONS
Value chains of a climate friendly automotive industry in Germany – Completed
Client: European Climate Foundation (ECF), Brüssel
Duration: 11/2015 – 10/2017
Partner: Cambridge Econometrics (Lead), ElementEnergy, M-Five
The project is focusing on the economic impacts of a decarbonisation of the German car fleet and a corresponding transition of the automotive industry. Project objective is a quantification of economic impacts. The project is supported by a stakeholder group involving automotive, energy and chemical industries as well as associations from industry, consumers and environmental protection.
The economic analysis is undertaken by Cambridge Econometrics applying their E3ME model for Germany to assess economic impacts of different scenarios of diffusion of alternative propulsion technologies for cars, variants of oil prices as well as modifications of value chains. Future technology cost of technologies to be implemented in low carbon cars are derived from technology databases of ElementEnergy and agreed by the stakeholder group.
M-Five analysed the potential modifications of value chains of major technologies to be implemented in low carbon cars, i.e. Lithium-Ion Batteries (LIB) and lightweight construction in particular using fibre reinforced plastics such as those building on carbon fibres. Further we brought the German perspective into the international project team. Our analysis of value chains is presented by two working paper:
- Analysis of the battery value chains with regard to the German industry and the global context
- Analysis of the light weight fiber reinforced plastics value chain with regard to the German industry in its global context
ATL-Observatory – Observatory of the Rail Freight Corridor Atlantic (RFC) –
Client: Requested by the manager of the Atlantic Corridor
Duration: 07/2016 – 12/2018
Partner: SYSTRA / INECO / IP Engenharia
The objective of this project is the development of the Monitoring Centre for the Rail Freight Atlantic Corridor, which provides information, mainly about the market and its associated variables, by periodic reports and other information from the Corridor activities (KPI, TAG/RAG, Panel survey, etc.) as its Scorecard.
This activity is expected to complement the necessary information between periods in which the Corridor decides to update its Transport Market Study (TMS).
At the same time, it must provide information about the relevant issues coming from the SWOT analysis made by the Corridor in its TMS.
In particular, the project consists of:
- monitoring socioeconomic paramenters
- monitoring of selected O/D relations and
- monitoring the quality of rail service
M-Five is in charge of investigating the evolution of the environmental impacts and of covering the German section of the corridor.
RALP-TMS– Transport Market Study of the Rhine-Alpine Rail Freight Corridor (RFC) – Completed
Client: RFC Rhine-Alpine - European Economic Interest Grouping (EEIG), Frankfurt/Main
Duration: 06/2017 - 01/2019
Partner: TRT Trasporti e Territorio (Lead), TML Transport & Mobility Leuven, SSP CONSULT, Lucchini-Mariotta e Associati SA, M-Five
This study investigated the market potential for rail freight transport along the Rhine Alpine Rail Freight Corridor (RALP-RFC). The focus of the study was to identify how the rail freight market share along the corridor could be increased by exploring possible enhancements of rail services in terms of heavier, faster and more reliable trains along the RALP-RFC.
Focussing on measures under the direct influence of the infrastructure manager (IM), the following three strategies were selected for detailed analysis, given that the highest growth was expected from them:
- heavier trains: ideal train weight for 740m-long trains
- faster trains: reduction of number of stops
- more reliable trains: improved punctuality and information on delayed trains
The study estimated the current rail freight demand on the RALP-RFC, as well as the demand pertaining to the same catchment areas currently satisfied by other modes (road and inland waterway).
In order to quantify the modal shift potential, cost factors concerning the three chosen improvement measures were evaluated via expert interviews.
A stated preference survey gathered the market reaction on certain service enhancements by deriving the market responsiveness relating to both price and time variations. From the resulting market response, the cost savings potential for the railway undertakings was derived. This potential in turn constituted the basis for the evaluation of the modal shift potential.
Finally, the consortium formulated qualitative recommendations for the enhancement of rail freight on the corridor. M-Five was involved in the market analysis and the survey in relation to German and French speaking stakeholders.
The final summary report of the Transport Market Study is published
This list is a selection of our projects and is updated continuously.