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2025

Report

GHG Projections for Germany for 2025 (2025 Projection Report)

Authors (M-Five):
Dr. Wolfgang Schade Icon, Marcel Streif, Ines Haug, Julian Emmerich Icon
Other authors:
Hannah Förster, Julia Repenning (both project team lead), et. al.
About:

The report provides an in-depth look at the results of the 2025 greenhouse gas projection data, explains the assessment of policy instruments and publishes the data for the With-Additional-Measures scenario. For 2021–2030, the projections show a cumulative undershooting of the permitted total annual emission budget, with small differences between the With-Measures and With-Additional-Measures scenarios. Results follow the sectors of the Federal Climate Change Act and the EU Climate Action Regulation (ESR) and are supplemented by detailed sensitivity analyses. In the transport sector, M-Five worked with Fraunhofer ISI to model and assess passenger and freight demand using the ASTRA-M model. This was complemented by a methodological sensitivity in which, alongside demand, vehicle fleets and their final energy consumption and GHG emissions were modelled in an integrated way via ASTRA-M. A model and data documentation Icon of ASTRA-M was produced alongside the report.